Canceled leads at 94% across 6 outcomes, with $191K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for France United Left Primary Winner?
Current odds: Canceled 94%, Clémentine Autain 1%, François Ruffin 1%, Marine Tondelier 1%, Lydie Massard 0%, Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in France United Left Primary Winner?
Canceled is the market favorite at 94%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $191K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on France United Left Primary Winner?
$191K has been traded on this market in total, including $20K in the last 24 hours, with $100K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does France United Left Primary Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 11, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does France United Left Primary Winner resolve?
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not
Where can I bet on France United Left Primary Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.