El Salvador Legislative Election Winner

Nuevas Ideas (NI) leads at 96% across 11 outcomes, with $10K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

El Salvador Legislative Election Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Nuevas Ideas (NI)96%96¢$4K
PDC2%2¢$711
Vamos2%2¢$710
FMLN2%2¢$730
PCN1%1¢$522
Salvadoran Democracy (DS)1%1¢$962
PAIS1%1¢$447
ARENA0%0¢$384
GANA0%0¢$496
FPS0%0¢$457
Solidary Force (FS)0%0¢$397

Market details

Resolution rules

Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. Notwithstanding the above, if candidates from two or more parties run on the same list, each seat won by that list will be counted toward the party to which the elected candidate belongs. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador (https://www.tse.gob.sv/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for El Salvador Legislative Election Winner?
Current odds: Nuevas Ideas (NI) 96%, PDC 2%, Vamos 2%, FMLN 2%, PCN 1%, Salvadoran Democracy (DS) 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in El Salvador Legislative Election Winner?
Nuevas Ideas (NI) is the market favorite at 96%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $10K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on El Salvador Legislative Election Winner?
$10K has been traded on this market in total, with $89K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does El Salvador Legislative Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does El Salvador Legislative Election Winner resolve?
Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties rem
Where can I bet on El Salvador Legislative Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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