Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Count Binface leads at 79% across 53 outcomes, with $309K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Clacton by-election: 2nd place odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Count Binface79%79¢$263K
Person I50%50¢
Person J50%50¢
Person K50%50¢
Person L50%50¢
Person M50%50¢
Person N50%50¢
Person O50%50¢
Person P50%50¢
Person Q50%50¢
Person R50%50¢
Person S50%50¢
Person T50%50¢
Person U50%50¢
Person V50%50¢

38 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Clacton by-election: 2nd place?
Current odds: Count Binface 79%, Person I 50%, Person J 50%, Person K 50%, Person L 50%, Person M 50%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Clacton by-election: 2nd place?
Count Binface is the market favorite at 79%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $309K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Clacton by-election: 2nd place?
$309K has been traded on this market in total, including $16K in the last 24 hours, with $119K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Clacton by-election: 2nd place resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 13, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Clacton by-election: 2nd place resolve?
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known de
Where can I bet on Clacton by-election: 2nd place?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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