13.5M-14M leads at 49% across 10 outcomes, with $34K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for California Governor Election: Turnout?
Current odds: 13.5M-14M 49%, 12.5M-13M 26%, 14.5M+ 24%, 11M-11.5M 13%, 11.5M-12M 13%, 12M-12.5M 11%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in California Governor Election: Turnout?
13.5M-14M is the market favorite at 49%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $34K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on California Governor Election: Turnout?
$34K has been traded on this market in total, with $6K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does California Governor Election: Turnout resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does California Governor Election: Turnout resolve?
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the officia
Where can I bet on California Governor Election: Turnout?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.