Baja California Governor Election Winner

Julieta Ramírez Padilla leads at 67% across 21 outcomes, with $51K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Baja California Governor Election Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Julieta Ramírez Padilla67%67¢$14K
Ismael Burgueño Ruiz12%12¢$14K
Evangelina Moreno Guerra2%2¢$4K
Gustavo Macalpin1%1¢$2K
Gina Cruz Blackledge1%1¢$2K
Armando Ayala Robles0%0¢$830
Fernando Castro Trenti0%0¢$843
Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas0%0¢$830
Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe0%0¢$817
Jorge Ramos Hernández0%0¢$763
Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega0%0¢$897
Montserrat Caballero Ramírez0%0¢$1K
Héctor Osuna Jaime0%0¢$730
Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros0%0¢$910
Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso0%0¢$1K

6 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Baja California Governor Election Winner?
Current odds: Julieta Ramírez Padilla 67%, Ismael Burgueño Ruiz 12%, Evangelina Moreno Guerra 2%, Gustavo Macalpin 1%, Gina Cruz Blackledge 1%, Armando Ayala Robles 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Baja California Governor Election Winner?
Julieta Ramírez Padilla is the market favorite at 67%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $51K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Baja California Governor Election Winner?
$51K has been traded on this market in total, including $64 in the last 24 hours, with $83K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Baja California Governor Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on June 7, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Baja California Governor Election Winner resolve?
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and
Where can I bet on Baja California Governor Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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