2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads at 96% across 46 outcomes, with $669K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? odds
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot??
Current odds: Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96%, Nathalie Arthaud 93%, Marine Le Pen 90%, David Lisnard 86%, Raphaël Glucksmann 82%, Édouard Philippe 74%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon is the market favorite at 96%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $669K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot??
$669K has been traded on this market in total, including $9K in the last 24 hours, with $507K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? resolve?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election
Where can I bet on 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.