As of today the market prices Will Trump visit Greenland by... at 3% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Trump visit Greenland by...??
The market currently prices this at 3% (3¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
December 31 is the market favorite at 3%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $380K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Trump visit Greenland by...??
$380K has been traded on this market in total, including $19 in the last 24 hours, with $7K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Trump visit Greenland by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Trump visit Greenland by...? resolve?
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS)
Where can I bet on Will Trump visit Greenland by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.