As of today the market prices Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31 at 95% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31??
The market currently prices this at 95% (95¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? is the market favorite at 95%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $6K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31??
$6K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $3K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifie
Where can I bet on Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.