260-279 leads at 47% across 13 outcomes, with $3.5M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026??
Current odds: 260-279 47%, 280-299 47%, 300-319 3%, 320-339 0%, 340-359 0%, 360-379 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
260-279 is the market favorite at 47%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3.5M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026??
$3.5M has been traded on this market in total, including $686K in the last 24 hours, with $599K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 28, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:/
Where can I bet on Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.