As of today the market prices Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday at 33% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday??
The market currently prices this at 33% (33¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? is the market favorite at 33%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $24K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday??
$24K has been traded on this market in total, including $15K in the last 24 hours, with $7K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 28, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qua
Where can I bet on Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.