June 30, 2027 leads at 44% across 3 outcomes, with $3.2M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??
Current odds: June 30, 2027 44%, December 31 14%, September 30 8%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027 is the market favorite at 44%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3.2M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??
$3.2M has been traded on this market in total, including $66K in the last 24 hours, with $145K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Where can I bet on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.