December 31, 2026 leads at 90% across 4 outcomes, with $8.5M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...??
Current odds: December 31, 2026 90%, September 30, 2026 77%, August 31, 2026 59%, July 31, 2026 11%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026 is the market favorite at 90%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $8.5M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...??
$8.5M has been traded on this market in total, including $49K in the last 24 hours, with $296K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2025. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? resolve?
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Where can I bet on Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.