Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?

As of today the market prices Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31 at 1% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?1%1¢$23K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu makes a public statement in which he insults Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Benjamin Netanyahu and a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31??
The market currently prices this at 1% (1¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31? is the market favorite at 1%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $23K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31??
$23K has been traded on this market in total, including $4K in the last 24 hours, with $14K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu makes a public statement in which he insults Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly
Where can I bet on Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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