Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
As of today the market prices Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends at 32% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? odds
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Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends??
The market currently prices this at 32% (32¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? is the market favorite at 32%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $948K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends??
$948K has been traded on this market in total, including $83K in the last 24 hours, with $42K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 3, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Where can I bet on Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.