Xi Jinping leads at 97% across 22 outcomes, with $263K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
| Outcome | Chance | Price | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping | 97% | 97¢ | $15K |
| Friedrich Merz | 95% | 95¢ | $11K |
| Vladimir Putin | 92% | 92¢ | $2K |
| Mark Carney | 92% | 92¢ | $24K |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 80% | 80¢ | $2K |
| Emmanuel Macron | 70% | 70¢ | $51K |
| Mark Rutte | 70% | 70¢ | $3K |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 64% | 64¢ | $4K |
| Andy Burnham | 60% | 60¢ | $10K |
| Elon Musk | 56% | 56¢ | $12K |
| Lula da Silva | 50% | 50¢ | $12K |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 46% | 46¢ | $90K |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 33% | 33¢ | $10K |
| Kim Jong Un | 8% | 8¢ | $5K |
| Pope Leo XIV | 8% | 8¢ | $3K |
7 more outcomes on the full market page.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
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