Keonne Rodriguez leads at 14% across 28 outcomes, with $618K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Who will Trump pardon before 2027??
Current odds: Keonne Rodriguez 14%, Ryan Salame 13%, Elon Musk 11%, Donald Brodie 10%, Himself 6%, Steve Bannon 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Keonne Rodriguez is the market favorite at 14%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $618K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will Trump pardon before 2027??
$618K has been traded on this market in total, including $4K in the last 24 hours, with $321K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will Trump pardon before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will Trump pardon before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where can I bet on Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.