Pete Hegseth leads at 31% across 15 outcomes, with $2.1M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? odds
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027??
Current odds: Pete Hegseth 31%, Kristi Noem 26%, Kash Patel 22%, Howard Lutnick 16%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 14%, Marco Rubio 14%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Pete Hegseth is the market favorite at 31%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2.1M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027??
$2.1M has been traded on this market in total, including $287K in the last 24 hours, with $534K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff
Where can I bet on Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.