Pete Hegseth - Secretary of Defense leads at 69% across 8 outcomes, with $4K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027? odds
Outcome
Chance
Price
Volume
Pete Hegseth - Secretary of Defense
69%
69¢
$3K
Marco Rubio - Secretary of State
50%
50¢
$49
Russ Vought - OMB Director
50%
50¢
$50
Donald Trump - President
49%
49¢
$971
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. - Secretary of Health and Human Services
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. House of Representatives adopts one or more articles of impeachment against the specified individual in connection with their specified role between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes".
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office before any article of impeachment is adopted, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. House of Representatives, including the Office of the Clerk and Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027??
Current odds: Pete Hegseth - Secretary of Defense 69%, Marco Rubio - Secretary of State 50%, Russ Vought - OMB Director 50%, Donald Trump - President 49%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. - Secretary of Health and Human Services 48%, Todd Blanche - Attorney General 28%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027?
Pete Hegseth - Secretary of Defense is the market favorite at 69%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $4K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027??
$4K has been traded on this market in total, including $854 in the last 24 hours, with $12K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. House of Representatives adopts one or more articles of impeachment against the specified individual in connection with their specified role between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes".
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office before any article of impeachment is adopted, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. House of Representatives, including the Off
Where can I bet on Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.