Kevin Warsh leads at 100% across 9 outcomes, with $64.5M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair??
Current odds: Kevin Warsh 100%, Judy Shelton 0%, Kevin Hassett 0%, Christopher Waller 0%, Jerome Powell 0%, Stephen Miran 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh is the market favorite at 100%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $64.5M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair??
$64.5M has been traded on this market in total.
When does Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? resolve?
This market has closed. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of
Where can I bet on Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.