Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections??
Current odds: Ra'am 90%, RZP-Zehut 89%, Amcha Yisrael 48%, Blue & White 32%, Reservists and New Economic Party 25%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Ra'am is the market favorite at 90%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections??
$1K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $10K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? resolve?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as report
Where can I bet on Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.