Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD leads at 79% across 8 outcomes, with $699K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
AfD79%79¢$185K
SPD23%23¢$155K
CDU0%$44K
Grüne0%$71K
FDP0%$77K
Linke0%$28K
FW0%$116K
BSW0%$22K

Market details

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner?
Current odds: AfD 79%, SPD 23%, CDU 0%, Grüne 0%, FDP 0%, Linke 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner?
AfD is the market favorite at 79%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $699K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner?
$699K has been traded on this market in total, including $60K in the last 24 hours, with $264K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner resolve?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed
Where can I bet on Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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