Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
Pete Hegseth leads at 50% across 9 outcomes, with $39K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027? odds
This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Articles of impeachment passed against any individual not listed in this market will not be considered.
In the event that articles of impeachment are passed against multiple listed individuals simultaneously, this market will resolve in favor of the listed individual, among those with articles of impeachment passed against them, whose last name is first in alphabetical order.
In the event that none of the listed individuals is impeached by the United States House of Representatives by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027??
Current odds: Pete Hegseth 50%, Nobody 25%, Donald Trump 19%, Todd Blanche 5%, Howard Lutnick 5%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
Pete Hegseth is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $39K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027??
$39K has been traded on this market in total, including $4K in the last 24 hours, with $74K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Articles of impeachment passed against any individual not listed in this market will not be considered.
In the event that articles of impeachment are passed against multiple listed individuals simultaneously, this market will resolve in favor of the listed individual, among those with articles of impeachment passed against them, whose last name is first in alphabetical order.
In the event that none of the listed individuals is impeached by the United
Where can I bet on Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.