Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Israel leads at 11% across 17 outcomes, with $415K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027??
Current odds: Israel 11%, Mexico 10%, Pakistan 9%, Russia 9%, South Africa 9%, Canada 8%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Israel is the market favorite at 11%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $415K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027??
$415K has been traded on this market in total, including $89 in the last 24 hours, with $126K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Where can I bet on Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.