Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
As of today the market prices Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by... at 16% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...? odds
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...??
The market currently prices this at 16% (16¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
July 31 is the market favorite at 16%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $408K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...??
$408K has been traded on this market in total, including $577 in the last 24 hours, with $2K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models se
Where can I bet on Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.