Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) leads at 99% across 9 outcomes, with $1.7M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)99%99¢$255K
Sweden Democrats (SD)1%$611K
Moderate Party (M)0%$456K
Centre Party (C)0%$43K
Left Party (V)0%$39K
Christian Democrats (KD)0%$37K
Green Party (MP)0%$155K
Liberals (L)0%$38K
Citizens' Coalition (MED)0%$36K

Market details

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner?
Current odds: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 99%, Sweden Democrats (SD) 1%, Moderate Party (M) 0%, Centre Party (C) 0%, Left Party (V) 0%, Christian Democrats (KD) 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner?
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) is the market favorite at 99%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.7M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner?
$1.7M has been traded on this market in total, including $30K in the last 24 hours, with $375K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner resolve?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetica
Where can I bet on Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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