Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER) leads at 95% across 7 outcomes, with $2.9M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
United Russia (ER)95%95¢$711K
New People (NL)2%2¢$113K
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)0%0¢$131K
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%0¢$695K
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)0%0¢$157K
Rodina0%0¢$474K
Civic Platform (GP)0%0¢$580K

Market details

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Russia Parliamentary Election Winner?
Current odds: United Russia (ER) 95%, New People (NL) 2%, Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 0%, A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 0%, Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 0%, Rodina 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Russia Parliamentary Election Winner?
United Russia (ER) is the market favorite at 95%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2.9M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Russia Parliamentary Election Winner?
$2.9M has been traded on this market in total, including $14K in the last 24 hours, with $568K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Russia Parliamentary Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Russia Parliamentary Election Winner resolve?
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on
Where can I bet on Russia Parliamentary Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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