As of today the market prices Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold at 1% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? odds
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold??
The market currently prices this at 1% (1¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? is the market favorite at 1%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $672K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold??
$672K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $87K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? resolve?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creat
Where can I bet on Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.