Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February?

25 bps increase leads at 61% across 5 outcomes, with $19K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
25 bps increase61%61¢$9K
No Change29%29¢$7K
50+ bps decrease4%4¢$906
25 bps decrease4%4¢$856
50+ bps increase3%3¢$803

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the February 2027 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its February 2027 meeting, scheduled for February 10, 2027, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its February 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February??
Current odds: 25 bps increase 61%, No Change 29%, 50+ bps decrease 4%, 25 bps decrease 4%, 50+ bps increase 3%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February?
25 bps increase is the market favorite at 61%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $19K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February??
$19K has been traded on this market in total, with $7K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 10, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the February 2027 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its February 2027 meeting, scheduled for February 10, 2027, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its February 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is
Where can I bet on Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in February?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

Related politics markets

All Politics markets on Polymarket →

Track every Polymarket market on the markets page, or see who is trading them on the leaderboard.