As of today the market prices Nothing Ever Happens: Obama at 96% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Nothing Ever Happens: Obama?
The market currently prices this at 96% (96¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Nothing Ever Happens: Obama?
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama is the market favorite at 96%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $12K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Nothing Ever Happens: Obama?
$12K has been traded on this market in total, including $1 in the last 24 hours, with $23K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Nothing Ever Happens: Obama resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Nothing Ever Happens: Obama resolve?
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
Where can I bet on Nothing Ever Happens: Obama?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.