Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
As of today the market prices Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31 at 0% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? odds
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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31??
The market currently prices this at 0% (0¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? is the market favorite at 0%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $955K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31??
$955K has been traded on this market in total, including $8K in the last 24 hours, with $71K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal
Where can I bet on Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.