How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?
No vote leads at 36% across 8 outcomes, with $372 traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? odds
This market will resolve according to the number of members of the US House of Representatives who vote in favor of impeaching United States Secretary of War (also referred to as the Secretary of Defense) Pete Hegseth on the legislative day of the first House floor vote on articles of impeachment against him held between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If multiple floor votes on articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth are held on the first legislative day on which such a floor vote is held, this market will resolve based on the vote that receives the highest number of votes in favor. Votes held on any later legislative day will not be considered.
A floor vote on articles of impeachment is a recorded vote of the full House on the adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth or of one or more articles of impeachment against him. Procedural votes, including but not limited to votes on motions to table, motions to refer or commit, motions on the previous question, and votes on rules governing debate, will not count, even if the result of such a vote prevents a floor vote on articles of impeachment from being held.
The outcome of the vote (whether or not the articles are adopted) does not affect resolution; only the number of votes in favor of impeachment is considered.
If no floor vote on articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No vote".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official roll call records of the Clerk of the US House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31??
Current odds: No vote 36%, <215 33%, 220-224 33%, 230-234 32%, 225-229 30%, 235-239 27%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?
No vote is the market favorite at 36%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $372 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31??
$372 has been traded on this market in total, including $372 in the last 24 hours, with $820 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the number of members of the US House of Representatives who vote in favor of impeaching United States Secretary of War (also referred to as the Secretary of Defense) Pete Hegseth on the legislative day of the first House floor vote on articles of impeachment against him held between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If multiple floor votes on articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth are held on the first legislative day on which such a floor vote is held, this market will resolve based on the vote that receives the highest number of votes in favor. Votes held on any later legislative day will not be considered.
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Where can I bet on How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.