Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro leads at 73% across 18 outcomes, with $6.9M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place odds
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
Current odds: Flávio Bolsonaro 73%, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 26%, Renan Santos 2%, Augusto Cury 1%, Tarcisio de Freitas 0%, Jair Bolsonaro 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
Flávio Bolsonaro is the market favorite at 73%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $6.9M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
$6.9M has been traded on this market in total, including $56K in the last 24 hours, with $1.6M of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place resolve?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other"
Where can I bet on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.