As of today the market prices Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027 at 3% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027??
The market currently prices this at 3% (3¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? is the market favorite at 3%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.0M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027??
$1.0M has been traded on this market in total, including $386 in the last 24 hours, with $70K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where can I bet on Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.