Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Gadi Eizenkot leads at 67% across 100 outcomes, with $39K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government? odds
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government??
Current odds: Gadi Eizenkot 67%, Other 50%, Person 1 50%, Person 2 50%, Person 3 50%, Person 4 50%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Gadi Eizenkot is the market favorite at 67%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $39K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government??
$39K has been traded on this market in total, including $9K in the last 24 hours, with $250K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government? resolve?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market.
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Where can I bet on Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.