Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?

As of today the market prices Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31 at 50% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
December 3150%50¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31??
The market currently prices this at 50% (50¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
December 31 is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $732 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31??
$732 has been traded on this market in total, with $4 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31? resolve?
Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single enti
Where can I bet on Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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