Person H leads at 50% across 33 outcomes, with $102K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.
To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.
The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.
If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.
If no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Next Israeli Minister of Justice??
Current odds: Person H 50%, Person I 50%, Person J 50%, Person K 50%, Person L 50%, Person M 50%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person H is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $102K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next Israeli Minister of Justice??
$102K has been traded on this market in total, including $6K in the last 24 hours, with $207K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next Israeli Minister of Justice? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next Israeli Minister of Justice? resolve?
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.
To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.
The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its suc
Where can I bet on Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.