Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 31 leads at 16% across 3 outcomes, with $1.4M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…??
Current odds: December 31 16%, October 31 14%, September 30 6%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 31 is the market favorite at 16%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.4M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…??
$1.4M has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $50K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming cons
Where can I bet on Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.