Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
As of today the market prices Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31 at 28% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? odds
Outcome
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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31??
The market currently prices this at 28% (28¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? is the market favorite at 28%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $758K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31??
$758K has been traded on this market in total, including $63K in the last 24 hours, with $72K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.