Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

As of today the market prices Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027 at 11% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?11%11¢$165K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027??
The market currently prices this at 11% (11¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? is the market favorite at 11%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $165K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027??
$165K has been traded on this market in total, including $735 in the last 24 hours, with $12K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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