December 31 leads at 98% across 6 outcomes, with $1.1M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Xi Jinping visit US by...??
Current odds: December 31 98%, October 31 97%, September 30 95%, September 24 92%, September 23 86%, September 15 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 31 is the market favorite at 98%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.1M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Xi Jinping visit US by...??
$1.1M has been traded on this market in total, including $25K in the last 24 hours, with $163K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Xi Jinping visit US by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Xi Jinping visit US by...? resolve?
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where can I bet on Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.