Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

As of today the market prices Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026 at 8% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?8%$757K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026??
The market currently prices this at 8% (8¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? is the market favorite at 8%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $757K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026??
$757K has been traded on this market in total, including $8K in the last 24 hours, with $19K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where can I bet on Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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