Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

As of today the market prices Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled at 98% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?98%98¢$819K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled??
The market currently prices this at 98% (98¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? is the market favorite at 98%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $819K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled??
$819K has been traded on this market in total, including $31K in the last 24 hours, with $87K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where can I bet on Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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