Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
As of today the market prices Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027 at 37% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? odds
Outcome
Chance
Price
Volume
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027??
The market currently prices this at 37% (37¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? is the market favorite at 37%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $256K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027??
$256K has been traded on this market in total, including $5K in the last 24 hours, with $13K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus
Where can I bet on Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.