J.D. Vance leads at 90% across 71 outcomes, with $69K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? odds
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028??
Current odds: J.D. Vance 90%, Pete Buttigieg 86%, Ted Cruz 85%, Gavin Newsom 83%, Ron DeSantis 80%, Andy Beshear 77%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
J.D. Vance is the market favorite at 90%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $69K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will announce Presidential run before 2028??
$69K has been traded on this market in total, including $452 in the last 24 hours, with $351K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The primary resolution sour
Where can I bet on Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.