Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads at 97% across 9 outcomes, with $597K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? odds
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff??
Current odds: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 97%, Flavio Bolsonaro 97%, Renan Santos 2%, Jair Bolsonaro 2%, Romeu Zema 1%, Ronaldo Caiado 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is the market favorite at 97%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $597K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff??
$597K has been traded on this market in total, including $9K in the last 24 hours, with $139K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? resolve?
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible
Where can I bet on Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.