As of today the market prices Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by... at 41% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...??
The market currently prices this at 41% (41¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
December 31 is the market favorite at 41%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $138K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...??
$138K has been traded on this market in total, including $834 in the last 24 hours, with $230 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will
Where can I bet on Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.