Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

As of today the market prices Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026 at 9% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?9%$34K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sanae Takaichi ceases to be Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Takaichi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sanae Takaichi and the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026??
The market currently prices this at 9% (9¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? is the market favorite at 9%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $34K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026??
$34K has been traded on this market in total, including $210 in the last 24 hours, with $16K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sanae Takaichi ceases to be Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Takaichi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this m
Where can I bet on Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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