As of today the market prices Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by... at 3% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...? odds
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...??
The market currently prices this at 3% (3¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
September 30 is the market favorite at 3%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $184K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...??
$184K has been traded on this market in total, including $5K in the last 24 hours, with $25K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...? resolve?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.