Rafael López Aliaga leads at 82% across 49 outcomes, with $136K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Lima Mayoral Election Winner?
Current odds: Rafael López Aliaga 82%, Person B 50%, Person C 50%, Person D 50%, Person E 50%, Person F 50%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Lima Mayoral Election Winner?
Rafael López Aliaga is the market favorite at 82%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $136K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Lima Mayoral Election Winner?
$136K has been traded on this market in total, including $5K in the last 24 hours, with $272K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Lima Mayoral Election Winner resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Lima Mayoral Election Winner resolve?
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Naci
Where can I bet on Lima Mayoral Election Winner?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.