0.0%–0.8% leads at 40% across 10 outcomes, with $23K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? odds
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on August 17, 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.html
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)??
Current odds: 0.0%–0.8% 40%, 0.8%–1.6% 34%, -0.8%–0.0% 8%, 1.6%–2.4% 8%, 2.4%–3.2% 5%, <-2.4% 4%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
0.0%–0.8% is the market favorite at 40%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $23K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)??
$23K has been traded on this market in total, including $30 in the last 24 hours, with $10K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 17, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? resolve?
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on August 17, 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
Where can I bet on Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.